Kubikwa ukuthi ngokohlelo olusalungiswa lwaseRussia lweminyaka emithathu, ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwaminyaka yonkeipayipi legesi yemvelo kanye ne-LNG izokwehla cishe ngo-40% iye ku-125.2 billion cubic metres ngo-2023-2025. Uhlaka lubonisa ukuthi ukuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kwegesi yemvelo yamapayipi kulindeleke ukuthi ibe ngama-cubic metres ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-142 kulo nyaka kanye nama-cubic metres ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-205.6 ngo-2021. Lezi zibalo zigqamisa izinselele ezinkulu ezibhekene nabathengi bamandla baseYurophu.
Ngemuva kokuthi iRussia inikezwe unswinyo amazwe asentshonalanga ngenxa yengxabano yaseRussia yase-Ukraine, iGazprom (Gazprom) ibilokhu yehlisa ukuhlinzekwa kwayo ngegesi yemvelo eYurophu izinyanga ezimbalwa. I-Europe ibilokhu iyimakethe enkulu kunazo zonke eRussia. Amanye amakhasimende ase-Europe anqanyulelwa ukutholakala kwegesi ngemuva kokwenqaba ukukhokha ngama-ruble njengoba kudingwa iRussia. I-Russia iphinde yehlisa ukuhamba kwegesi yemvelo ethunyelwa eYurophu ngamapayipi amakhulu ngezizathu zobuchwepheshe.
Uhlelo olusalungiswa aluzange lunikeze idatha enemininingwane ngezimakethe zangaphandle. Kodwa-ke, ngokusho kwedatha yomlando nokunikezwa kwamanje, i-Türkiye ingaba yikhasimende elilodwa elikhulu kunawo wonke le-Gazprom ezwenikazi laseYurophu. Ngonyaka odlule, iRussia yathumela igesi yemvelo cishe eyizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-27 eTürkiye.
Ngonyaka ozayo, i-China ingase ibe umthengi wesibili ngobukhulu wegesi yemvelo yamapayipi aseRussia. Ngokusho kwesivumelwano phakathi kweRussia Gas nePetroChina, ukuhlinzekwa kwegesi yemvelo ngokusebenzisa "Amandla aseSiberia"ipayipi legesi yemvelokancane kancane izokhula ifinyelele cishe kuma-cubic metres ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingama-21 ngo-2023, umgomo we-15 billion kuya ku-16 billion cubic metres.Isitshalo se-LNGkulo nyaka.
Ngokusekelwe kulokhu kucatshangelwa okungenhla, futhi kucatshangelwa ukuhlinzekwa kwaminyaka yonke kwegesi yemvelo engaba ama-cubic mitha ayizigidi eziyizinkulungwane ezingu-30 emazweni ayeyiSoviet Union, iRussia ingaletha cishe ama-cubic metres egesi yemvelo emakethe yaseYurophu elinganiselwa ku-45 billion, elingana ne-123. million cubic metres ngosuku. I-Russia njengamanje ithumela kwamanye amazwe cishe ama-cubic metres ayizigidi ezingama-80 wegesi yemvelo eYurophu nsuku zonke.
Kodwa-ke, lezi zibalo zingashintsha njengoba i-Rosneft yenza isinqumo sokugcina sokuhlinzeka ngokusekelwe ezimeni zemakethe, izidingo zamakhasimende, i-geopolitics nezinye izici.
I-Russia ilindele ukwenyuka okuncane kokuthunyelwa kukawoyela ongahluziwe, nakuba i-Europe imise ukuthengwa kwayo okuningi ezweni. Ngokusho kohlaka, iRussia izothumela amathani ayizigidi ezingama-250 kawoyela ongahluziwe ngonyaka ozayo, okungaphezu kwamathani ayizigidi ezingama-243 kulo nyaka. Ngo-2024 nango-2025, izothumela ngaphandle amathani ayizigidi ezingama-255 kanye namathani ayizigidi ezingama-260 ngokulandelana.
Kodwa-ke, ngokusho kohlaka, ivolumu yokuthekelisa kwemikhiqizo kaphethiloli ngo-2023 kulindeleke ukuthi yehle isuka kumathani ayizigidi eziyi-130 kulo nyaka iye kumathani ayizigidi eziyi-113.
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Isikhathi sokuthumela: Sep-26-2022
